MatchFormula Намери мач
Menu
UTC+8
Часова зонаAsia/Shanghai
Български
BGR България - Първа Лига · Final ·

Спартак Варна vs Септември София

Prediction review

Домакин form
Final score0–1Прогноза 2–1
Гост form
Победа за домакина46%
Равен28%
Победа за госта26%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 46% selection probability
Prediction Непознат
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Спартак ВарнаСептември София
Expected goals2.73Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над51% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
46% / 28% / 26%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Септември София win (25.7%)Двоен шанс1X74.3%1.35
Над 51% · Под 49%Goals 2.5Над51%1.96
Да 53% · Не 47%И двата отбора да отбележатДа53%1.89
2.73 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
8.8 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.3%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Спартак Варна win46%2.172.0545.5%+0.5 pp
Равен28%3.573.2528.7%-0.7 pp
Септември София win26%3.853.6025.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Спартак Варна1.68

Домакин share of expected goals 61.5%

Total expected goals2.73Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 51% · Под 49%

Септември София1.05

Гост share of expected goals 38.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 53% · Не 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Спартак Варна

2.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Точки10

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Септември София

0.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Точки2

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
26%
10
Points from supplied form
2
1.68
Expected goals
1.05
Спартак ВарнаСептември София
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Спартак Варна signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Септември София signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Спартак Варна vs Септември София FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Спартак Варна печеливш 46%,Равен 28%,Септември София печеливш 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.73 · Над 2.5 51% · Current selection Над