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BGR Βουλγαρία - Πρώτη Λίγκα · Final ·

Σπαρτάκ Βάρνα vs Σεπτέμβρη Σοφία

Prediction review

Γηπεδούχος form
Final score0–1Πρόβλεψη 2–1
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου46%
Ισοπαλία28%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου26%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 46% selection probability
Prediction Αποτυχία
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Σπαρτάκ ΒάρναΣεπτέμβρη Σοφία
Expected goals2.73Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω51% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
46% / 28% / 26%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Σεπτέμβρη Σοφία win (25.7%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X74.3%1.35
Άνω 51% · Κάτω 49%Goals 2.5Άνω51%1.96
Ναι 53% · Όχι 47%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι53%1.89
2.73 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
8.8 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.3%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Σπαρτάκ Βάρνα win46%2.172.0545.5%+0.5 pp
Ισοπαλία28%3.573.2528.7%-0.7 pp
Σεπτέμβρη Σοφία win26%3.853.6025.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Σπαρτάκ Βάρνα1.68

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 61.5%

Total expected goals2.73Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 51% · Κάτω 49%

Σεπτέμβρη Σοφία1.05

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 38.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 53% · Όχι 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Σπαρτάκ Βάρνα

2.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Πόντοι10

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Σεπτέμβρη Σοφία

0.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Πόντοι2

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
26%
10
Points from supplied form
2
1.68
Expected goals
1.05
Σπαρτάκ ΒάρναΣεπτέμβρη Σοφία
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Σπαρτάκ Βάρνα signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Σεπτέμβρη Σοφία signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Σπαρτάκ Βάρνα vs Σεπτέμβρη Σοφία FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Σπαρτάκ Βάρνα νίκη 46%,Ισοπαλία 28%,Σεπτέμβρη Σοφία νίκη 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.73 · Άνω 2.5 51% · Current selection Άνω