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CHN 中國超級聯賽 · Round 22 ·

大連英博 vs 遼寧鐵人

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–13.02 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝39%
27%
客勝33%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝39% selection probability
Projected score2–1大連英博遼寧鐵人
Expected goals3.02Balanced match profile
Goals 2.558% for the selected side
雙方進球61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
39% / 27% / 33%比賽結果主勝39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.4%)雙重機會1272.6%1.38
大 58% · 小 42%Goals 2.558%1.72
是 61% · 否 39%雙方進球61%1.64
3.02 total expected goals正確比分2–1
9.9 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
大連英博 win39%2.56
27%3.70
遼寧鐵人 win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

大連英博1.62

主隊 share of expected goals 53.6%

Total expected goals3.02Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 58% · 42%

遼寧鐵人1.40

客隊 share of expected goals 46.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 61% · 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

大連英博

1.40pts / match
5Wins2Drawn1Losses2積分7

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

遼寧鐵人

1.40pts / match
5Wins2Drawn1Losses2積分7

Signal主隊 won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
贏 probability excluding draw
33%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.62
Expected goals
1.40
大連英博遼寧鐵人
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01大連英博 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02遼寧鐵人 signal主隊 won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

大連英博 vs 遼寧鐵人 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

大連英博 39%, 27%,遼寧鐵人 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.02 · 大2.5 58% · Current selection