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CHN 中国 スーパーリーグ · Round 22 ·

大連英博 vs 遼寧アイアンマン

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–13.02 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利39%
引き分け27%
アウェイ勝利33%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利39% selection probability
Projected score2–1大連英博遼寧アイアンマン
Expected goals3.02Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー58% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
39% / 27% / 33%試合結果ホーム勝利39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.4%)ダブルチャンス1272.6%1.38
オーバー 58% · アンダー 42%Goals 2.5オーバー58%1.72
はい 61% · いいえ 39%両チーム得点はい61%1.64
3.02 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
9.9 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
大連英博 win39%2.56
引き分け27%3.70
遼寧アイアンマン win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

大連英博1.62

ホーム share of expected goals 53.6%

Total expected goals3.02Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 58% · アンダー 42%

遼寧アイアンマン1.40

アウェイ share of expected goals 46.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 61% · いいえ 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

大連英博

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

遼寧アイアンマン

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
勝ち probability excluding draw
33%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.62
Expected goals
1.40
大連英博遼寧アイアンマン
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01大連英博 signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02遼寧アイアンマン signalホーム won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

大連英博 vs 遼寧アイアンマン FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

大連英博 勝ち 39%,引き分け 27%,遼寧アイアンマン 勝ち 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.02 · オーバー 2.5 58% · Current selection オーバー