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CHN China Super League · Round 22 ·

Dalian Young Boy vs Liaoning Ironman

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–13.02 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile39%
Nul27%
Victoire à l’extérieur33%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile39% selection probability
Projected score2–1Dalian Young BoyLiaoning Ironman
Expected goals3.02Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de58% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
39% / 27% / 33%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.4%)Double chance1272.6%1.38
Plus de 58% · Moins de 42%Goals 2.5Plus de58%1.72
Oui 61% · Non 39%Les deux équipes marquentOui61%1.64
3.02 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Dalian Young Boy win39%2.56
Nul27%3.70
Liaoning Ironman win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Dalian Young Boy1.62

Domicile share of expected goals 53.6%

Total expected goals3.02Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 58% · Moins de 42%

Liaoning Ironman1.40

Extérieur share of expected goals 46.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 61% · Non 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Dalian Young Boy

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Liaoning Ironman

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Gagné probability excluding draw
33%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.62
Expected goals
1.40
Dalian Young BoyLiaoning Ironman
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Dalian Young Boy signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Liaoning Ironman signalDomicile won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Dalian Young Boy vs Liaoning Ironman FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Dalian Young Boy victoire 39%,Nul 27%,Liaoning Ironman victoire 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.02 · Plus de 2.5 58% · Current selection Plus de