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CHN China Super League · Round 21 ·

Zhejiang vs Wuhan Three Towns

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–13.49 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile51%
Nul25%
Victoire à l’extérieur24%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile51% selection probability
Projected score2–1ZhejiangWuhan Three Towns
Expected goals3.49Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de68% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
51% / 25% / 24%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Wuhan Three Towns win (24.2%)Double chance1X75.8%1.32
Plus de 68% · Moins de 32%Goals 2.5Plus de68%1.47
Oui 64% · Non 36%Les deux équipes marquentOui64%1.56
3.49 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Zhejiang win51%1.96
Nul25%4.00
Wuhan Three Towns win24%4.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Zhejiang2.25

Domicile share of expected goals 64.5%

Total expected goals3.49Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 68% · Moins de 32%

Wuhan Three Towns1.24

Extérieur share of expected goals 35.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 64% · Non 36%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Zhejiang

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Wuhan Three Towns

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalExtérieur matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Gagné probability excluding draw
24%
7
Points from supplied form
7
2.25
Expected goals
1.24
ZhejiangWuhan Three Towns
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Zhejiang signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Wuhan Three Towns signalExtérieur matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Zhejiang vs Wuhan Three Towns FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Zhejiang victoire 51%,Nul 25%,Wuhan Three Towns victoire 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.49 · Plus de 2.5 68% · Current selection Plus de