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CHN China Super League · Round 22 ·

Zhejiang vs Wuhan Three Towns

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.49 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst52%
Gelijkspel25%
Uitwinst24%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst52% selection probability
Projected score2–1ZhejiangWuhan Three Towns
Expected goals3.49Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven68% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
52% / 25% / 24%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Wuhan Three Towns win (24%)Dubbele Kans1X76%1.32
Boven 68% · Onder 32%Goals 2.5Boven68%1.47
Ja 64% · Nee 36%Beide teams scorenJa64%1.56
3.49 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
10.2 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Zhejiang win52%1.92
Gelijkspel25%4.00
Wuhan Three Towns win24%4.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Zhejiang2.26

Thuis share of expected goals 64.8%

Total expected goals3.49Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 68% · Onder 32%

Wuhan Three Towns1.23

Uit share of expected goals 35.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 64% · Nee 36%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Zhejiang

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Wuhan Three Towns

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalUit matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
24%
7
Points from supplied form
7
2.26
Expected goals
1.23
ZhejiangWuhan Three Towns
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Zhejiang signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Wuhan Three Towns signalUit matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Zhejiang vs Wuhan Three Towns FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Zhejiang gewonnen 52%,Gelijkspel 25%,Wuhan Three Towns gewonnen 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.49 · Boven 2.5 68% · Current selection Boven