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ARG Argentina Liga Profesional · Trận đấu ·

Defensa y Justicia vs Newell's

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score2–12.84 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng44%
Hòa31%
Đội khách thắng25%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng44% selection probability
Projected score2–1Defensa y JusticiaNewell's
Expected goals2.84Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Tài54% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
44% / 31% / 25%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Newell's win (25.4%)Cơ hội kép1X74.6%1.34
Tài 54% · Xỉu 46%Goals 2.5Tài54%1.85
Có 56% · Không 44%Cả hai đội ghi bàn56%1.79
2.84 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác2–1
8.6 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.5%Largest probability gapDefensa y Justicia winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Defensa y Justicia win44%2.272.2043.1%+0.9 pp
Hòa31%3.233.0031.6%-0.6 pp
Newell's win25%4.003.7525.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Defensa y Justicia1.68

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 59.2%

Total expected goals2.84Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Tài 54% · Xỉu 46%

Newell's1.16

Khách share of expected goals 40.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 56% · Không 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Defensa y Justicia

0.80pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Điểm4

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 4/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Newell's

1.20pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Điểm6

SignalKhách unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Thắng probability excluding draw
25%
4
Points from supplied form
6
1.68
Expected goals
1.16
Defensa y JusticiaNewell's
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Defensa y Justicia signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Newell's signalKhách unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Defensa y Justicia vs Newell's FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Defensa y Justicia thắng 44%,Hòa 31%,Newell's thắng 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.84 · Tài 2.5 54% · Current selection Tài