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IdőzónaAsia/Shanghai
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ARG Argentina Liga Profesional · Mérkőzés ·

Defensa y Justicia vs Newell's

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score2–12.84 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem44%
Döntetlen31%
Vendég győzelem25%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem44% selection probability
Projected score2–1Defensa y JusticiaNewell's
Expected goals2.84Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Felett54% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
44% / 31% / 25%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Newell's win (25.4%)Dupla esély1X74.6%1.34
Felett 54% · Alatt 46%Goals 2.5Felett54%1.85
Igen 56% · Nem 44%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen56%1.79
2.84 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–1
8.6 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.5%Largest probability gapDefensa y Justicia winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Defensa y Justicia win44%2.272.2043.1%+0.9 pp
Döntetlen31%3.233.0031.6%-0.6 pp
Newell's win25%4.003.7525.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Defensa y Justicia1.68

Hazai share of expected goals 59.2%

Total expected goals2.84Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 54% · Alatt 46%

Newell's1.16

Vendég share of expected goals 40.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitIgen 56% · Nem 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Defensa y Justicia

0.80pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontok4

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 4/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Newell's

1.20pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Pontok6

SignalVendég unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Nyert probability excluding draw
25%
4
Points from supplied form
6
1.68
Expected goals
1.16
Defensa y JusticiaNewell's
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Defensa y Justicia signalHazai matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Newell's signalVendég unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Defensa y Justicia vs Newell's FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Defensa y Justicia nyer 44%,Döntetlen 31%,Newell's nyer 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.84 · 2.5 felett 54% · Current selection Felett