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ARG Argentina Liga Profesional · Partido ·

Defensa y Justicia vs Newell's

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.84 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local44%
Empate31%
Victoria visitante25%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local44% selection probability
Projected score2–1Defensa y JusticiaNewell's
Expected goals2.84Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de54% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
44% / 31% / 25%Resultado del partidoVictoria local44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Newell's win (25.4%)Doble Oportunidad1X74.6%1.34
Más de 54% · Menos de 46%Goals 2.5Más de54%1.85
Sí 56% · No 44%Ambos equipos marcan56%1.79
2.84 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
8.6 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.5%Largest probability gapDefensa y Justicia winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Defensa y Justicia win44%2.272.2043.1%+0.9 pp
Empate31%3.233.0031.6%-0.6 pp
Newell's win25%4.003.7525.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Defensa y Justicia1.68

Local share of expected goals 59.2%

Total expected goals2.84Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 54% · Menos de 46%

Newell's1.16

Visitante share of expected goals 40.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Defensa y Justicia

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Newell's

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puntos6

SignalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Ganado probability excluding draw
25%
4
Points from supplied form
6
1.68
Expected goals
1.16
Defensa y JusticiaNewell's
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Defensa y Justicia signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Newell's signalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Defensa y Justicia vs Newell's FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Defensa y Justicia ganada 44%,Empate 31%,Newell's ganada 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.84 · Más de 2.5 54% · Current selection Más de