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ARG Argentina Liga Profesional · Maç ·

Defensa y Justicia vs Newell's

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–12.84 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır44%
Beraberlik31%
Deplasman kazanır25%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır44% selection probability
Projected score2–1Defensa y JusticiaNewell's
Expected goals2.84Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üst54% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
44% / 31% / 25%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Newell's win (25.4%)Çifte Şans1X74.6%1.34
Üst 54% · Alt 46%Goals 2.5Üst54%1.85
Evet 56% · Hayır 44%Karşılıklı gol varEvet56%1.79
2.84 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
8.6 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.5%Largest probability gapDefensa y Justicia winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Defensa y Justicia win44%2.272.2043.1%+0.9 pp
Beraberlik31%3.233.0031.6%-0.6 pp
Newell's win25%4.003.7525.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Defensa y Justicia1.68

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 59.2%

Total expected goals2.84Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 54% · Alt 46%

Newell's1.16

Deplasman share of expected goals 40.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 56% · Hayır 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Defensa y Justicia

0.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puan4

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Newell's

1.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puan6

SignalDeplasman unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
25%
4
Points from supplied form
6
1.68
Expected goals
1.16
Defensa y JusticiaNewell's
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Defensa y Justicia signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Newell's signalDeplasman unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Defensa y Justicia vs Newell's FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Defensa y Justicia kazanç 44%,Beraberlik 31%,Newell's kazanç 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.84 · 2.5 Üst 54% · Current selection Üst