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ENG England Premier League 2 · Final ·

Reading U21 vs Derby U21

Prediction review

Chủ nhà form
Final score1–3Dự đoán 2–1
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng44%
Hòa24%
Đội khách thắng32%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 44% selection probability
Prediction Trượt
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng44% selection probability
Projected score2–1Reading U21Derby U21
Expected goals3.13Mở match profile
Goals 2.5Tài61% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Tài 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
44% / 24% / 32%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.6%)Cơ hội kép1276.4%1.31
Tài 61% · Xỉu 39%Goals 2.5Tài61%1.64
Có 61% · Không 39%Cả hai đội ghi bàn61%1.64
3.13 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác2–1
10.3 expected match cornersPhạt gócTài 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapDerby U21 winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Reading U21 win44%2.272.0543.8%+0.2 pp
Hòa24%4.173.8023.6%+0.4 pp
Derby U21 win32%3.132.7532.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Reading U211.88

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 60.1%

Total expected goals3.13Mở

Dedicated goals model: Tài 61% · Xỉu 39%

Derby U211.25

Khách share of expected goals 39.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 61% · Không 39%Match profileMở
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Reading U21

0.80pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Điểm4

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 4/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Derby U21

1.80pts / match
Số trận5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Điểm9

SignalChủ nhà failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Thắng probability excluding draw
32%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.88
Expected goals
1.25
Reading U21Derby U21
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Reading U21 signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Derby U21 signalChủ nhà failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Reading U21 vs Derby U21 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Reading U21 thắng 44%,Hòa 24%,Derby U21 thắng 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.13 · Tài 2.5 61% · Current selection Tài