Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
44% / 24% / 32%Match resultHome win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.6%)Double chance1276.4%1.31
Over 61% · Under 39%Goals 2.5Over61%1.64
Yes 61% · No 39%Both teams scoreYes61%1.64
3.13 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
10.3 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapDerby U21 winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Reading U21 win44%2.272.0543.8%+0.2 pp
Draw24%4.173.8023.6%+0.4 pp
Derby U21 win32%3.132.7532.6%-0.6 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 60.1%
Total expected goals3.13Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 61% · Under 39%
Away share of expected goals 39.9%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 61% · No 39%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchReading U21
LWDLL
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchDerby U21
LLWWW
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
44%
Win probability excluding draw
32%4
Points from supplied form
91.88
Expected goals
1.25Reading U21Derby U21
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.
Match questions
Reading U21 vs Derby U21 FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Reading U21 win 44%，Draw 24%，Derby U21 win 32%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.13 · Over 2.5 61% · Current selection Over。