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ENG Angleterre - Premier League 2 · Final ·

Reading - U21 vs Derby - U21

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score1–3Pronostic 2–1
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile44%
Nul24%
Victoire à l’extérieur32%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 44% selection probability
Prediction Perdu
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile44% selection probability
Projected score2–1Reading - U21Derby - U21
Expected goals3.13Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de61% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
44% / 24% / 32%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.6%)Double chance1276.4%1.31
Plus de 61% · Moins de 39%Goals 2.5Plus de61%1.64
Oui 61% · Non 39%Les deux équipes marquentOui61%1.64
3.13 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
10.3 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapDerby - U21 winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Reading - U21 win44%2.272.0543.8%+0.2 pp
Nul24%4.173.8023.6%+0.4 pp
Derby - U21 win32%3.132.7532.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Reading - U211.88

Domicile share of expected goals 60.1%

Total expected goals3.13Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 61% · Moins de 39%

Derby - U211.25

Extérieur share of expected goals 39.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 61% · Non 39%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Reading - U21

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Derby - U21

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Gagné probability excluding draw
32%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.88
Expected goals
1.25
Reading - U21Derby - U21
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Reading - U21 signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Derby - U21 signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Reading - U21 vs Derby - U21 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Reading - U21 victoire 44%,Nul 24%,Derby - U21 victoire 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.13 · Plus de 2.5 61% · Current selection Plus de