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ENG Inglaterra - Premier League 2 · Final ·

Reading sub-21 vs Derby sub-21

Prediction review

Local form
Final score1–3Pronóstico 2–1
Visitante form
Victoria local44%
Empate24%
Victoria visitante32%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 44% selection probability
Prediction Fallado
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local44% selection probability
Projected score2–1Reading sub-21Derby sub-21
Expected goals3.13Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de61% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
44% / 24% / 32%Resultado del partidoVictoria local44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.6%)Doble Oportunidad1276.4%1.31
Más de 61% · Menos de 39%Goals 2.5Más de61%1.64
Sí 61% · No 39%Ambos equipos marcan61%1.64
3.13 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
10.3 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapDerby sub-21 winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Reading sub-21 win44%2.272.0543.8%+0.2 pp
Empate24%4.173.8023.6%+0.4 pp
Derby sub-21 win32%3.132.7532.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Reading sub-211.88

Local share of expected goals 60.1%

Total expected goals3.13Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 61% · Menos de 39%

Derby sub-211.25

Visitante share of expected goals 39.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 61% · No 39%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Reading sub-21

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Derby sub-21

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puntos9

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Ganado probability excluding draw
32%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.88
Expected goals
1.25
Reading sub-21Derby sub-21
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Reading sub-21 signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Derby sub-21 signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Reading sub-21 vs Derby sub-21 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Reading sub-21 ganada 44%,Empate 24%,Derby sub-21 ganada 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.13 · Más de 2.5 61% · Current selection Más de