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ENG Inglaterra - Premier League 2 · Final ·

Reading Sub21 vs Derby Sub21

Prediction review

Mandante form
Final score1–3Previsão 2–1
Visitante form
Vitória da casa44%
Empate24%
Vitória visitante32%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 44% selection probability
Prediction Errou
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa44% selection probability
Projected score2–1Reading Sub21Derby Sub21
Expected goals3.13Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima61% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
44% / 24% / 32%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.6%)Dupla Chance1276.4%1.31
Acima 61% · Abaixo 39%Goals 2.5Acima61%1.64
Sim 61% · Não 39%Ambas as equipes marcamSim61%1.64
3.13 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
10.3 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapDerby Sub21 winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Reading Sub21 win44%2.272.0543.8%+0.2 pp
Empate24%4.173.8023.6%+0.4 pp
Derby Sub21 win32%3.132.7532.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Reading Sub211.88

Mandante share of expected goals 60.1%

Total expected goals3.13Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 61% · Abaixo 39%

Derby Sub211.25

Visitante share of expected goals 39.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 61% · Não 39%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Reading Sub21

0.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontos4

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Derby Sub21

1.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Pontos9

SignalMandante failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
32%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.88
Expected goals
1.25
Reading Sub21Derby Sub21
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Reading Sub21 signalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Derby Sub21 signalMandante failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Reading Sub21 vs Derby Sub21 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Reading Sub21 ganhou 44%,Empate 24%,Derby Sub21 ganhou 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.13 · Acima 2.5 61% · Current selection Acima