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Reading U21 vs Derby U21

Prediction review

ホーム form
Final score1–3予想 2–1
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利44%
引き分け24%
アウェイ勝利32%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 44% selection probability
Prediction 不的中
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利44% selection probability
Projected score2–1Reading U21Derby U21
Expected goals3.13始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー61% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
44% / 24% / 32%試合結果ホーム勝利44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.6%)ダブルチャンス1276.4%1.31
オーバー 61% · アンダー 39%Goals 2.5オーバー61%1.64
はい 61% · いいえ 39%両チーム得点はい61%1.64
3.13 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
10.3 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapDerby U21 winDifference-0.6 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Reading U21 win44%2.272.0543.8%+0.2 pp
引き分け24%4.173.8023.6%+0.4 pp
Derby U21 win32%3.132.7532.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Reading U211.88

ホーム share of expected goals 60.1%

Total expected goals3.13始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 61% · アンダー 39%

Derby U211.25

アウェイ share of expected goals 39.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 61% · いいえ 39%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

Reading U21

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

Derby U21

1.80pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn0Losses2ポイント9

Signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
勝ち probability excluding draw
32%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.88
Expected goals
1.25
Reading U21Derby U21
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Reading U21 signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Derby U21 signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Reading U21 vs Derby U21 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Reading U21 勝ち 44%,引き分け 24%,Derby U21 勝ち 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.13 · オーバー 2.5 61% · Current selection オーバー