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ENG Anglia - Premier League 2 · Final ·

Reading U21 vs Derby U21

Prediction review

Gospodarze form
Final score1–3Prognoza 2–1
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy44%
Remis24%
Wygrana gości32%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 44% selection probability
Prediction Nietrafiony
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy44% selection probability
Projected score2–1Reading U21Derby U21
Expected goals3.13Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej61% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
44% / 24% / 32%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.6%)Podwójna szansa1276.4%1.31
Powyżej 61% · Poniżej 39%Goals 2.5Powyżej61%1.64
Tak 61% · Nie 39%Obie drużyny strzeląTak61%1.64
3.13 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
10.3 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapDerby U21 winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Reading U21 win44%2.272.0543.8%+0.2 pp
Remis24%4.173.8023.6%+0.4 pp
Derby U21 win32%3.132.7532.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Reading U211.88

Gospodarze share of expected goals 60.1%

Total expected goals3.13Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 61% · Poniżej 39%

Derby U211.25

Goście share of expected goals 39.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 61% · Nie 39%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Reading U21

0.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkty4

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Derby U21

1.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkty9

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
32%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.88
Expected goals
1.25
Reading U21Derby U21
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Reading U21 signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Derby U21 signalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Reading U21 vs Derby U21 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Reading U21 wygrana 44%,Remis 24%,Derby U21 wygrana 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.13 · Powyżej 2.5 61% · Current selection Powyżej