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POL Poland III Liga · Maç ·

Star Starachowice vs KSZO Ostrowiec

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–22.60 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır25%
Beraberlik24%
Deplasman kazanır52%
Full model forecastDeplasman kazanırTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDeplasman kazanır52% selection probability
Projected score1–2Star StarachowiceKSZO Ostrowiec
Expected goals2.60Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alt52% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
25% / 24% / 52%Maç sonucuDeplasman kazanır52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.7%)Çifte Şans1276.3%1.31
Üst 48% · Alt 52%Goals 2.5Alt52%1.92
Evet 51% · Hayır 49%Karşılıklı gol varEvet51%1.96
2.60 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–2
10.4 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Star Starachowice win25%4.003.6024.8%+0.2 pp
Beraberlik24%4.173.8023.5%+0.5 pp
KSZO Ostrowiec win52%1.921.7351.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Star Starachowice1.02

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 39.2%

Total expected goals2.60Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 48% · Alt 52%

KSZO Ostrowiec1.58

Deplasman share of expected goals 60.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitEvet 51% · Hayır 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Star Starachowice

0.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Puan1

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 5/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

KSZO Ostrowiec

2.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puan13

SignalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
52%
1
Points from supplied form
13
1.02
Expected goals
1.58
Star StarachowiceKSZO Ostrowiec
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Star Starachowice signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KSZO Ostrowiec signalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Star Starachowice vs KSZO Ostrowiec FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Deplasman kazanır · Projected score 1–2 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Star Starachowice kazanç 25%,Beraberlik 24%,KSZO Ostrowiec kazanç 52%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.60 · 2.5 Üst 48% · Current selection Alt