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POL Polonia - Liga III · Partita ·

Star Starachowice vs KSZO Ostrowiec

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–22.60 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa25%
Pareggio24%
Vittoria ospite52%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite52% selection probability
Projected score1–2Star StarachowiceKSZO Ostrowiec
Expected goals2.60Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto52% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
25% / 24% / 52%Esito partitaVittoria ospite52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.7%)Doppia Chance1276.3%1.31
Sopra 48% · Sotto 52%Goals 2.5Sotto52%1.92
Sì 51% · No 49%Entrambe le squadre segnano51%1.96
2.60 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–2
10.4 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Star Starachowice win25%4.003.6024.8%+0.2 pp
Pareggio24%4.173.8023.5%+0.5 pp
KSZO Ostrowiec win52%1.921.7351.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Star Starachowice1.02

Casa share of expected goals 39.2%

Total expected goals2.60Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 48% · Sotto 52%

KSZO Ostrowiec1.58

Trasferta share of expected goals 60.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Star Starachowice

0.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punti1

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

KSZO Ostrowiec

2.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punti13

SignalCasa failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Vinta probability excluding draw
52%
1
Points from supplied form
13
1.02
Expected goals
1.58
Star StarachowiceKSZO Ostrowiec
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Star Starachowice signalCasa matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KSZO Ostrowiec signalCasa failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Star Starachowice vs KSZO Ostrowiec FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–2 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Star Starachowice vinta 25%,Pareggio 24%,KSZO Ostrowiec vinta 52%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.60 · Sopra 2.5 48% · Current selection Sotto