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POL Польша - Лига III · Матч ·

Стар Стараховице vs ФК Островец-Свентокшиски

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–22.60 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев25%
Ничья24%
Победа гостей52%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей52% selection probability
Projected score1–2Стар СтараховицеФК Островец-Свентокшиски
Expected goals2.60Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше52% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
25% / 24% / 52%Исход матчаПобеда гостей52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.7%)Двойной шанс1276.3%1.31
Больше 48% · Меньше 52%Goals 2.5Меньше52%1.92
Да 51% · Нет 49%Обе забьютДа51%1.96
2.60 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–2
10.4 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Стар Стараховице win25%4.003.6024.8%+0.2 pp
Ничья24%4.173.8023.5%+0.5 pp
ФК Островец-Свентокшиски win52%1.921.7351.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Стар Стараховице1.02

Хозяева share of expected goals 39.2%

Total expected goals2.60Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 48% · Меньше 52%

ФК Островец-Свентокшиски1.58

Гости share of expected goals 60.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 51% · Нет 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Стар Стараховице

0.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Баллы1

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФК Островец-Свентокшиски

2.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Баллы13

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
52%
1
Points from supplied form
13
1.02
Expected goals
1.58
Стар СтараховицеФК Островец-Свентокшиски
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Стар Стараховице signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Островец-Свентокшиски signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Стар Стараховице vs ФК Островец-Свентокшиски FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–2 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Стар Стараховице выигрыш 25%,Ничья 24%,ФК Островец-Свентокшиски выигрыш 52%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.60 · ТБ 2.5 48% · Current selection Меньше