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POL Полша - Лига 3 · Мач ·

Стар Стараховице vs КСЗО Островец

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–22.60 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина25%
Равен24%
Победа за госта52%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта52% selection probability
Projected score1–2Стар СтараховицеКСЗО Островец
Expected goals2.60Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под52% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
25% / 24% / 52%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.7%)Двоен шанс1276.3%1.31
Над 48% · Под 52%Goals 2.5Под52%1.92
Да 51% · Не 49%И двата отбора да отбележатДа51%1.96
2.60 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–2
10.4 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Стар Стараховице win25%4.003.6024.8%+0.2 pp
Равен24%4.173.8023.5%+0.5 pp
КСЗО Островец win52%1.921.7351.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Стар Стараховице1.02

Домакин share of expected goals 39.2%

Total expected goals2.60Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 48% · Под 52%

КСЗО Островец1.58

Гост share of expected goals 60.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 51% · Не 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Стар Стараховице

0.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Точки1

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

КСЗО Островец

2.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Точки13

SignalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
52%
1
Points from supplied form
13
1.02
Expected goals
1.58
Стар СтараховицеКСЗО Островец
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Стар Стараховице signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02КСЗО Островец signalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Стар Стараховице vs КСЗО Островец FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–2 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Стар Стараховице печеливш 25%,Равен 24%,КСЗО Островец печеливш 52%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.60 · Над 2.5 48% · Current selection Под