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POL Polska - 3. Liga · Mecz ·

MKS Star Starachowice vs KSZO Ostrowiec

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–22.60 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy25%
Remis24%
Wygrana gości52%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości52% selection probability
Projected score1–2MKS Star StarachowiceKSZO Ostrowiec
Expected goals2.60Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej52% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
25% / 24% / 52%Wynik meczuWygrana gości52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.7%)Podwójna szansa1276.3%1.31
Powyżej 48% · Poniżej 52%Goals 2.5Poniżej52%1.92
Tak 51% · Nie 49%Obie drużyny strzeląTak51%1.96
2.60 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–2
10.4 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
MKS Star Starachowice win25%4.003.6024.8%+0.2 pp
Remis24%4.173.8023.5%+0.5 pp
KSZO Ostrowiec win52%1.921.7351.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MKS Star Starachowice1.02

Gospodarze share of expected goals 39.2%

Total expected goals2.60Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 48% · Poniżej 52%

KSZO Ostrowiec1.58

Goście share of expected goals 60.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitTak 51% · Nie 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

MKS Star Starachowice

0.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punkty1

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

KSZO Ostrowiec

2.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkty13

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
52%
1
Points from supplied form
13
1.02
Expected goals
1.58
MKS Star StarachowiceKSZO Ostrowiec
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MKS Star Starachowice signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KSZO Ostrowiec signalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

MKS Star Starachowice vs KSZO Ostrowiec FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–2 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MKS Star Starachowice wygrana 25%,Remis 24%,KSZO Ostrowiec wygrana 52%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.60 · Powyżej 2.5 48% · Current selection Poniżej