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POL Pologne - III Liga · Match ·

Star Starachowice vs KSZO Ostrowiec

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–22.60 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile25%
Nul24%
Victoire à l’extérieur52%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur52% selection probability
Projected score1–2Star StarachowiceKSZO Ostrowiec
Expected goals2.60Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de52% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
25% / 24% / 52%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.7%)Double chance1276.3%1.31
Plus de 48% · Moins de 52%Goals 2.5Moins de52%1.92
Oui 51% · Non 49%Les deux équipes marquentOui51%1.96
2.60 total expected goalsScore exact1–2
10.4 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Star Starachowice win25%4.003.6024.8%+0.2 pp
Nul24%4.173.8023.5%+0.5 pp
KSZO Ostrowiec win52%1.921.7351.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Star Starachowice1.02

Domicile share of expected goals 39.2%

Total expected goals2.60Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 48% · Moins de 52%

KSZO Ostrowiec1.58

Extérieur share of expected goals 60.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitOui 51% · Non 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Star Starachowice

0.20pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

KSZO Ostrowiec

2.60pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Gagné probability excluding draw
52%
1
Points from supplied form
13
1.02
Expected goals
1.58
Star StarachowiceKSZO Ostrowiec
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Star Starachowice signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KSZO Ostrowiec signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Star Starachowice vs KSZO Ostrowiec FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–2 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Star Starachowice victoire 25%,Nul 24%,KSZO Ostrowiec victoire 52%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.60 · Plus de 2.5 48% · Current selection Moins de