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UZB Uzbekistan PFL · Maç ·

Navbahor Namangan vs Termez Surkhon

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–12.43 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır55%
Beraberlik25%
Deplasman kazanır21%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Navbahor NamanganTermez Surkhon
Expected goals2.43Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alt56% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
55% / 25% / 21%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Termez Surkhon win (20.8%)Çifte Şans1X79.2%1.26
Üst 44% · Alt 56%Goals 2.5Alt56%1.79
Evet 46% · Hayır 54%Karşılıklı gol varHayır54%1.85
2.43 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
9.4 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Navbahor Namangan win55%1.821.6554.7%+0.3 pp
Beraberlik25%4.003.7024.4%+0.6 pp
Termez Surkhon win21%4.764.3320.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Navbahor Namangan1.58

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 65%

Total expected goals2.43Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 44% · Alt 56%

Termez Surkhon0.85

Deplasman share of expected goals 35%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 46% · Hayır 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Navbahor Namangan

1.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puan6

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Termez Surkhon

1.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puan7

SignalDeplasman won 2/3 recent away matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
21%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.58
Expected goals
0.85
Navbahor NamanganTermez Surkhon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Navbahor Namangan signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Termez Surkhon signalDeplasman won 2/3 recent away matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Navbahor Namangan vs Termez Surkhon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Navbahor Namangan kazanç 55%,Beraberlik 25%,Termez Surkhon kazanç 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.43 · 2.5 Üst 44% · Current selection Alt