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UZB Uzbekistan PFL · Match ·

Navbahor Namangan vs Termez Surkhon

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.43 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile54%
Nul26%
Victoire à l’extérieur20%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile54% selection probability
Projected score2–1Navbahor NamanganTermez Surkhon
Expected goals2.43Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de56% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
54% / 26% / 20%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Termez Surkhon win (20%)Double chance1X80%1.25
Plus de 44% · Moins de 56%Goals 2.5Moins de56%1.79
Oui 46% · Non 54%Les deux équipes marquentNon54%1.85
2.43 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Navbahor Namangan win54%1.851.6754.1%-0.1 pp
Nul26%3.853.5025.8%+0.2 pp
Termez Surkhon win20%5.004.5020.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Navbahor Namangan1.58

Domicile share of expected goals 65%

Total expected goals2.43Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 44% · Moins de 56%

Termez Surkhon0.85

Extérieur share of expected goals 35%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 46% · Non 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Navbahor Namangan

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Termez Surkhon

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalExtérieur won 2/3 recent away matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Gagné probability excluding draw
20%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.58
Expected goals
0.85
Navbahor NamanganTermez Surkhon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Navbahor Namangan signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Termez Surkhon signalExtérieur won 2/3 recent away matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Navbahor Namangan vs Termez Surkhon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Navbahor Namangan victoire 54%,Nul 26%,Termez Surkhon victoire 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.43 · Plus de 2.5 44% · Current selection Moins de