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UZB Oezbekistan - PFL · Wedstrijd ·

Navbahor Namangan vs Termez Surkhon

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.43 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst55%
Gelijkspel25%
Uitwinst21%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Navbahor NamanganTermez Surkhon
Expected goals2.43Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder56% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
55% / 25% / 21%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Termez Surkhon win (20.8%)Dubbele Kans1X79.2%1.26
Boven 44% · Onder 56%Goals 2.5Onder56%1.79
Ja 46% · Nee 54%Beide teams scorenNee54%1.85
2.43 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Navbahor Namangan win55%1.821.6554.7%+0.3 pp
Gelijkspel25%4.003.7024.4%+0.6 pp
Termez Surkhon win21%4.764.3320.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Navbahor Namangan1.58

Thuis share of expected goals 65%

Total expected goals2.43Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 44% · Onder 56%

Termez Surkhon0.85

Uit share of expected goals 35%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nee 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Navbahor Namangan

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punten6

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Termez Surkhon

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalUit won 2/3 recent away matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
21%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.58
Expected goals
0.85
Navbahor NamanganTermez Surkhon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Navbahor Namangan signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Termez Surkhon signalUit won 2/3 recent away matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Navbahor Namangan vs Termez Surkhon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Navbahor Namangan gewonnen 55%,Gelijkspel 25%,Termez Surkhon gewonnen 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.43 · Boven 2.5 44% · Current selection Onder