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UZB Uzbekistan - PFL · Mecz ·

Navbahor Namangan vs Termez Surkhon

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–12.43 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy54%
Remis26%
Wygrana gości20%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy54% selection probability
Projected score2–1Navbahor NamanganTermez Surkhon
Expected goals2.43Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej56% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
54% / 26% / 20%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Termez Surkhon win (20%)Podwójna szansa1X80%1.25
Powyżej 44% · Poniżej 56%Goals 2.5Poniżej56%1.79
Tak 46% · Nie 54%Obie drużyny strzeląNie54%1.85
2.43 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
9.4 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Navbahor Namangan win54%1.851.6754.1%-0.1 pp
Remis26%3.853.5025.8%+0.2 pp
Termez Surkhon win20%5.004.5020.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Navbahor Namangan1.58

Gospodarze share of expected goals 65%

Total expected goals2.43Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 44% · Poniżej 56%

Termez Surkhon0.85

Goście share of expected goals 35%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 46% · Nie 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Navbahor Namangan

1.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punkty6

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Termez Surkhon

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGoście won 2/3 recent away matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
20%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.58
Expected goals
0.85
Navbahor NamanganTermez Surkhon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Navbahor Namangan signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Termez Surkhon signalGoście won 2/3 recent away matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Navbahor Namangan vs Termez Surkhon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Navbahor Namangan wygrana 54%,Remis 26%,Termez Surkhon wygrana 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.43 · Powyżej 2.5 44% · Current selection Poniżej