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UZB Uzbekistan - PFL · Partita ·

Navbahor Namangan vs Termez Surkhon

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.43 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa54%
Pareggio26%
Vittoria ospite20%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa54% selection probability
Projected score2–1Navbahor NamanganTermez Surkhon
Expected goals2.43Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto56% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
54% / 26% / 20%Esito partitaVittoria casa54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Termez Surkhon win (20%)Doppia Chance1X80%1.25
Sopra 44% · Sotto 56%Goals 2.5Sotto56%1.79
Sì 46% · No 54%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo54%1.85
2.43 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Navbahor Namangan win54%1.851.6754.1%-0.1 pp
Pareggio26%3.853.5025.8%+0.2 pp
Termez Surkhon win20%5.004.5020.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Navbahor Namangan1.58

Casa share of expected goals 65%

Total expected goals2.43Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 44% · Sotto 56%

Termez Surkhon0.85

Trasferta share of expected goals 35%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 46% · No 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Navbahor Namangan

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punti6

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Termez Surkhon

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalTrasferta won 2/3 recent away matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Vinta probability excluding draw
20%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.58
Expected goals
0.85
Navbahor NamanganTermez Surkhon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Navbahor Namangan signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Termez Surkhon signalTrasferta won 2/3 recent away matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Navbahor Namangan vs Termez Surkhon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Navbahor Namangan vinta 54%,Pareggio 26%,Termez Surkhon vinta 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.43 · Sopra 2.5 44% · Current selection Sotto