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PRT Portugal Primeira Liga · Maç ·

Maritimo vs Casa Pia

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–12.63 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır40%
Beraberlik27%
Deplasman kazanır33%
Market-based forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier B · 40% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır40% selection probability
Projected score1–1MaritimoCasa Pia
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alt51% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
40% / 27% / 33%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.8%)Çifte Şans1273.2%1.37
Üst 49% · Alt 51%Goals 2.5Alt51%1.96
Evet 54% · Hayır 46%Karşılıklı gol varEvet54%1.85
2.63 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
9.7 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimYok
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Maritimo win40%2.502.3839.5%
Beraberlik27%3.703.5026.9%
Casa Pia win33%3.032.8033.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Maritimo1.41

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 53.6%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 49% · Alt 51%

Casa Pia1.22

Deplasman share of expected goals 46.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 54% · Hayır 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Maritimo

1.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puan9

SignalEv Sahibi won 3/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Casa Pia

0.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puan4

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
33%
9
Points from supplied form
4
1.41
Expected goals
1.22
MaritimoCasa Pia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Maritimo signalEv Sahibi won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Casa Pia signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Maritimo vs Casa Pia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Maritimo kazanç 40%,Beraberlik 27%,Casa Pia kazanç 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · 2.5 Üst 49% · Current selection Alt