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PRT Португалия - Лига Примейра · Матч ·

Маритиму vs Каса Пиа

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.63 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев40%
Ничья27%
Победа гостей33%
Market-based forecastПобеда хозяевTier B · 40% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев40% selection probability
Projected score1–1МаритимуКаса Пиа
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше51% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
40% / 27% / 33%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.8%)Двойной шанс1273.2%1.37
Больше 49% · Меньше 51%Goals 2.5Меньше51%1.96
Да 53% · Нет 47%Обе забьютДа53%1.89
2.63 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.7 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНет
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Маритиму win40%2.502.3839.5%
Ничья27%3.703.5026.9%
Каса Пиа win33%3.032.8033.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Маритиму1.41

Хозяева share of expected goals 53.6%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 49% · Меньше 51%

Каса Пиа1.22

Гости share of expected goals 46.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 53% · Нет 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Маритиму

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalХозяева won 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Каса Пиа

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
33%
9
Points from supplied form
4
1.41
Expected goals
1.22
МаритимуКаса Пиа
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Маритиму signalХозяева won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Каса Пиа signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Маритиму vs Каса Пиа FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Маритиму выигрыш 40%,Ничья 27%,Каса Пиа выигрыш 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · ТБ 2.5 49% · Current selection Меньше