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PRT Portogallo - Primeira Liga · Partita ·

Maritimo vs Casa Pia

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.63 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa40%
Pareggio27%
Vittoria ospite33%
Market-based forecastVittoria casaTier B · 40% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa40% selection probability
Projected score1–1MaritimoCasa Pia
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto51% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
40% / 27% / 33%Esito partitaVittoria casa40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.8%)Doppia Chance1273.2%1.37
Sopra 49% · Sotto 51%Goals 2.5Sotto51%1.96
Sì 54% · No 46%Entrambe le squadre segnano54%1.85
2.63 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Maritimo win40%2.502.3839.5%
Pareggio27%3.703.5026.9%
Casa Pia win33%3.032.8033.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Maritimo1.41

Casa share of expected goals 53.6%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 49% · Sotto 51%

Casa Pia1.22

Trasferta share of expected goals 46.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 54% · No 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Maritimo

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punti9

SignalCasa won 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Casa Pia

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Vinta probability excluding draw
33%
9
Points from supplied form
4
1.41
Expected goals
1.22
MaritimoCasa Pia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Maritimo signalCasa won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Casa Pia signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Maritimo vs Casa Pia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Maritimo vinta 40%,Pareggio 27%,Casa Pia vinta 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · Sopra 2.5 49% · Current selection Sotto