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PRT Portugal - Primeira Liga · Spiel ·

Maritimo vs Casa Pia

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.63 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg41%
Unentschieden27%
Auswärtssieg33%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 41% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg41% selection probability
Projected score1–1MaritimoCasa Pia
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter51% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
41% / 27% / 33%SpielergebnisHeimsieg41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.9%)Doppelte Chance1273.1%1.37
Über 49% · Unter 51%Goals 2.5Unter51%1.96
Ja 54% · Nein 46%Beide Teams treffenJa54%1.85
2.63 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.7 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin5.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Maritimo win41%2.442.3540.2%
Unentschieden27%3.703.5027%
Casa Pia win33%3.032.8832.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Maritimo1.42

Heim share of expected goals 54%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 49% · Unter 51%

Casa Pia1.21

Auswärts share of expected goals 46%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 54% · Nein 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Maritimo

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim won 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Casa Pia

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
33%
9
Points from supplied form
4
1.42
Expected goals
1.21
MaritimoCasa Pia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Maritimo signalHeim won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Casa Pia signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Maritimo vs Casa Pia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Maritimo Gewinn 41%,Unentschieden 27%,Casa Pia Gewinn 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · Über 2.5 49% · Current selection Unter