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EUR Europe Friendlies · Match ·

Elche vs Toulouse

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–23.24 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger37%
Oavgjort26%
Bortaseger37%
Market-based forecastBortasegerTier B · 37% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger37% selection probability
Projected score2–2ElcheToulouse
Expected goals3.24Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över62% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
37% / 26% / 37%MatchresultatBortaseger37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Dubbelchans1273.9%1.35
Över 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Över62%1.61
Ja 65% · Nej 35%Båda lagen gör målJa65%1.54
3.24 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–2
8.3 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Elche win37%2.702.5036%
Oavgjort26%3.853.4026.5%
Toulouse win37%2.702.4037.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Elche1.66

Hemma share of expected goals 51.2%

Total expected goals3.24Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 62% · Under 38%

Toulouse1.58

Borta share of expected goals 48.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 65% · Nej 35%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Elche

2.25pts / match
Spelade4Wins3Drawn0Losses1Poäng9

SignalHemma won 3/4

Borta-context · form sequence

Toulouse

2.00pts / match
Spelade2Wins1Drawn1Losses0Poäng4

SignalHemma clean sheets: 2/4

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
37%
9
Points from supplied form
4
1.66
Expected goals
1.58
ElcheToulouse
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Elche signalHemma won 3/4

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Toulouse signalHemma clean sheets: 2/4

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Elche vs Toulouse FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 2–2 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Elche vunnen 37%,Oavgjort 26%,Toulouse vunnen 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.24 · Över 2.5 62% · Current selection Över