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EUR Europe Friendlies · Meci ·

Elche vs Toulouse

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–13.28 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde45%
Egal23%
Victorie oaspeți32%
Baseline forecastVictorie gazdeTier C · 45% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde45% selection probability
Projected score2–1ElcheToulouse
Expected goals3.28Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste64% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
45% / 23% / 32%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.8%)Șansă dublă1277.2%1.30
Peste 64% · Sub 36%Goals 2.5Peste64%1.56
Da 64% · Nu 36%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa64%1.56
3.28 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
8.3 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Elche win45%2.22
Egal23%4.35
Toulouse win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Elche1.80

Gazde share of expected goals 54.9%

Total expected goals3.28Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 64% · Sub 36%

Toulouse1.48

Oaspeți share of expected goals 45.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 64% · Nu 36%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Elche

1.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puncte8

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Toulouse

2.33pts / match
Jucate3Wins2Drawn1Losses0Puncte7

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Câștig probability excluding draw
32%
8
Points from supplied form
7
1.80
Expected goals
1.48
ElcheToulouse
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Elche signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Toulouse signalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Elche vs Toulouse FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Elche câștig 45%,Egal 23%,Toulouse câștig 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.28 · Peste 2.5 64% · Current selection Peste