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EUR Europe Friendlies · Match ·

Elche vs Toulouse

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–23.24 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile37%
Nul26%
Victoire à l’extérieur37%
Market-based forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier B · 37% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur37% selection probability
Projected score2–2ElcheToulouse
Expected goals3.24Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de62% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
37% / 26% / 37%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Double chance1273.9%1.35
Plus de 62% · Moins de 38%Goals 2.5Plus de62%1.61
Oui 65% · Non 35%Les deux équipes marquentOui65%1.54
3.24 total expected goalsScore exact2–2
8.3 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimAucun
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Elche win37%2.702.5036%
Nul26%3.853.4026.5%
Toulouse win37%2.702.4037.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Elche1.66

Domicile share of expected goals 51.2%

Total expected goals3.24Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 62% · Moins de 38%

Toulouse1.58

Extérieur share of expected goals 48.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitOui 65% · Non 35%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Elche

1.60pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Toulouse

2.33pts / match
Joués3Wins2Drawn1Losses0Points7

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Gagné probability excluding draw
37%
8
Points from supplied form
7
1.66
Expected goals
1.58
ElcheToulouse
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Elche signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Toulouse signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Elche vs Toulouse FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 2–2 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Elche victoire 37%,Nul 26%,Toulouse victoire 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.24 · Plus de 2.5 62% · Current selection Plus de