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EUR Europe Friendlies · Partita ·

Elche vs Tolosa

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–23.24 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa37%
Pareggio26%
Vittoria ospite37%
Market-based forecastVittoria ospiteTier B · 37% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite37% selection probability
Projected score2–2ElcheTolosa
Expected goals3.24Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra62% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
37% / 26% / 37%Esito partitaVittoria ospite37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Doppia Chance1273.9%1.35
Sopra 62% · Sotto 38%Goals 2.5Sopra62%1.61
Sì 65% · No 35%Entrambe le squadre segnano65%1.54
3.24 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–2
8.3 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Elche win37%2.702.5036%
Pareggio26%3.853.4026.5%
Tolosa win37%2.702.4037.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Elche1.66

Casa share of expected goals 51.2%

Total expected goals3.24Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 62% · Sotto 38%

Tolosa1.58

Trasferta share of expected goals 48.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 65% · No 35%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Elche

2.25pts / match
Giocate4Wins3Drawn0Losses1Punti9

SignalCasa won 3/4

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Tolosa

2.00pts / match
Giocate2Wins1Drawn1Losses0Punti4

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/4

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Vinta probability excluding draw
37%
9
Points from supplied form
4
1.66
Expected goals
1.58
ElcheTolosa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Elche signalCasa won 3/4

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tolosa signalCasa clean sheets: 2/4

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Elche vs Tolosa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 2–2 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Elche vinta 37%,Pareggio 26%,Tolosa vinta 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.24 · Sopra 2.5 62% · Current selection Sopra