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EUR Europe Friendlies · Spiel ·

Elche vs Toulouse

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–23.24 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg37%
Unentschieden26%
Auswärtssieg37%
Market-based forecastAuswärtssiegTier B · 37% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg37% selection probability
Projected score2–2ElcheToulouse
Expected goals3.24Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über62% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
37% / 26% / 37%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Doppelte Chance1273.9%1.35
Über 62% · Unter 38%Goals 2.5Über62%1.61
Ja 65% · Nein 35%Beide Teams treffenJa65%1.54
3.24 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–2
8.3 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Elche win37%2.702.5036%
Unentschieden26%3.853.4026.5%
Toulouse win37%2.702.4037.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Elche1.66

Heim share of expected goals 51.2%

Total expected goals3.24Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 62% · Unter 38%

Toulouse1.58

Auswärts share of expected goals 48.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 65% · Nein 35%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Elche

2.25pts / match
Gespielt4Wins3Drawn0Losses1Punkte9

SignalHeim won 3/4

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Toulouse

2.00pts / match
Gespielt2Wins1Drawn1Losses0Punkte4

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/4

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
37%
9
Points from supplied form
4
1.66
Expected goals
1.58
ElcheToulouse
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Elche signalHeim won 3/4

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Toulouse signalHeim clean sheets: 2/4

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Elche vs Toulouse FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 2–2 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Elche Gewinn 37%,Unentschieden 26%,Toulouse Gewinn 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.24 · Über 2.5 62% · Current selection Über