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IRL Irland - First Division · Match ·

Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score3–13.94 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger71%
Oavgjort16%
Bortaseger12%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 71% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger71% selection probability
Projected score3–1Bray WanderersFinn Harps
Expected goals3.94Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över75% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
71% / 16% / 12%MatchresultatHemmaseger71%1.41
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Finn Harps win (12.4%)Dubbelchans1X87.6%1.14
Över 75% · Under 25%Goals 2.5Över75%1.33
Ja 56% · Nej 44%Båda lagen gör målJa56%1.79
3.94 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–1
9.1 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.0%Largest probability gapFinn Harps winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Bray Wanderers win71%1.411.2970.5%+0.5 pp
Oavgjort16%6.255.5016.5%-0.5 pp
Finn Harps win12%8.337.0013%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Bray Wanderers3.06

Hemma share of expected goals 77.7%

Total expected goals3.94Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 75% · Under 25%

Finn Harps0.88

Borta share of expected goals 22.3%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 56% · Nej 44%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Bray Wanderers

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalHemma won 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Finn Harps

0.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Poäng3

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
71%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
12%
9
Points from supplied form
3
3.06
Expected goals
0.88
Bray WanderersFinn Harps
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Bray Wanderers signalHemma won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Finn Harps signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk29% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 3–1 · 71% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Bray Wanderers vunnen 71%,Oavgjort 16%,Finn Harps vunnen 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.94 · Över 2.5 75% · Current selection Över