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IRL Irland - First Division · Match ·

UCD vs Wexford FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.83 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger47%
Oavgjort25%
Bortaseger28%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger47% selection probability
Projected score2–1UCDWexford FC
Expected goals2.83Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över54% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
47% / 25% / 28%MatchresultatHemmaseger47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)Dubbelchans1274.6%1.34
Över 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Över54%1.85
Ja 52% · Nej 48%Båda lagen gör målJa52%1.92
2.83 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
8.5 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapUCD winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UCD win47%2.131.9545.7%+1.3 pp
Oavgjort25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Wexford FC win28%3.573.1028.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UCD1.89

Hemma share of expected goals 66.8%

Total expected goals2.83Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 54% · Under 46%

Wexford FC0.94

Borta share of expected goals 33.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nej 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

UCD

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Wexford FC

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
28%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.89
Expected goals
0.94
UCDWexford FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UCD signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Wexford FC signalHemma failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

UCD vs Wexford FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UCD vunnen 47%,Oavgjort 25%,Wexford FC vunnen 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.83 · Över 2.5 54% · Current selection Över