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IRL Irlande - Première division · Match ·

UCD vs Wexford FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.83 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile48%
Nul25%
Victoire à l’extérieur27%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile48% selection probability
Projected score2–1UCDWexford FC
Expected goals2.83Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de54% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
48% / 25% / 27%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)Double chance1274.6%1.34
Plus de 54% · Moins de 46%Goals 2.5Plus de54%1.85
Oui 52% · Non 48%Les deux équipes marquentOui52%1.92
2.83 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
8.5 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapUCD winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UCD win48%2.081.9047%+1.0 pp
Nul25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Wexford FC win27%3.703.2527.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UCD1.89

Domicile share of expected goals 66.8%

Total expected goals2.83Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 54% · Moins de 46%

Wexford FC0.94

Extérieur share of expected goals 33.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 52% · Non 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

UCD

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Wexford FC

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Gagné probability excluding draw
27%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.89
Expected goals
0.94
UCDWexford FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UCD signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Wexford FC signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

UCD vs Wexford FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UCD victoire 48%,Nul 25%,Wexford FC victoire 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.83 · Plus de 2.5 54% · Current selection Plus de