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IRL Irlande - Première division · Match ·

Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score3–13.94 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile71%
Nul16%
Victoire à l’extérieur12%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 71% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile71% selection probability
Projected score3–1Bray WanderersFinn Harps
Expected goals3.94Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de75% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
71% / 16% / 12%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile71%1.41
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Finn Harps win (12.4%)Double chance1X87.6%1.14
Plus de 75% · Moins de 25%Goals 2.5Plus de75%1.33
Oui 56% · Non 44%Les deux équipes marquentOui56%1.79
3.94 total expected goalsScore exact3–1
9.1 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.0%Largest probability gapFinn Harps winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Bray Wanderers win71%1.411.2970.5%+0.5 pp
Nul16%6.255.5016.5%-0.5 pp
Finn Harps win12%8.337.0013%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Bray Wanderers3.06

Domicile share of expected goals 77.7%

Total expected goals3.94Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 75% · Moins de 25%

Finn Harps0.88

Extérieur share of expected goals 22.3%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitOui 56% · Non 44%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Bray Wanderers

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalDomicile won 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Finn Harps

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
71%
Gagné probability excluding draw
12%
9
Points from supplied form
3
3.06
Expected goals
0.88
Bray WanderersFinn Harps
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Bray Wanderers signalDomicile won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Finn Harps signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk29% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 3–1 · 71% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Bray Wanderers victoire 71%,Nul 16%,Finn Harps victoire 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.94 · Plus de 2.5 75% · Current selection Plus de