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IRL Republica Irlanda - First Division · Meci ·

Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score3–13.94 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde71%
Egal15%
Victorie oaspeți13%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 71% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde71% selection probability
Projected score3–1Bray WanderersFinn Harps
Expected goals3.94Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste75% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
71% / 15% / 13%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde71%1.41
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Finn Harps win (13.2%)Șansă dublă1X86.8%1.15
Peste 75% · Sub 25%Goals 2.5Peste75%1.33
Da 56% · Nu 44%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa56%1.79
3.94 total expected goalsScor corect3–1
9.1 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.3%Largest probability gapFinn Harps winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Bray Wanderers win71%1.411.2970.3%+0.7 pp
Egal15%6.675.7515.8%-0.8 pp
Finn Harps win13%7.696.5013.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Bray Wanderers3.06

Gazde share of expected goals 77.7%

Total expected goals3.94Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 75% · Sub 25%

Finn Harps0.88

Oaspeți share of expected goals 22.3%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitDa 56% · Nu 44%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Bray Wanderers

1.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puncte9

SignalGazde won 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Finn Harps

0.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puncte3

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
71%
Câștig probability excluding draw
13%
9
Points from supplied form
3
3.06
Expected goals
0.88
Bray WanderersFinn Harps
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Bray Wanderers signalGazde won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Finn Harps signalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk29% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 15%.

Match questions

Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 3–1 · 71% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Bray Wanderers câștig 71%,Egal 15%,Finn Harps câștig 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.94 · Peste 2.5 75% · Current selection Peste