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IRL Irland - 1. division · Kamp ·

Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score3–13.94 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr71%
Uafgjort16%
Udesejr12%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 71% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr71% selection probability
Projected score3–1Bray WanderersFinn Harps
Expected goals3.94Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over75% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
71% / 16% / 12%KampresultatHjemmesejr71%1.41
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Finn Harps win (12.4%)Dobbeltchance1X87.6%1.14
Over 75% · Under 25%Goals 2.5Over75%1.33
Ja 56% · Nej 44%Begge hold scorerJa56%1.79
3.94 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–1
9.1 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.0%Largest probability gapFinn Harps winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Bray Wanderers win71%1.411.2970.5%+0.5 pp
Uafgjort16%6.255.5016.5%-0.5 pp
Finn Harps win12%8.337.0013%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Bray Wanderers3.06

Hjemme share of expected goals 77.7%

Total expected goals3.94Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 75% · Under 25%

Finn Harps0.88

Ude share of expected goals 22.3%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 56% · Nej 44%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Bray Wanderers

1.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Point9

SignalHjemme won 3/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Finn Harps

0.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Point3

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
71%
Vundet probability excluding draw
12%
9
Points from supplied form
3
3.06
Expected goals
0.88
Bray WanderersFinn Harps
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Bray Wanderers signalHjemme won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Finn Harps signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk29% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 3–1 · 71% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Bray Wanderers vundet 71%,Uafgjort 16%,Finn Harps vundet 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.94 · Over 2.5 75% · Current selection Over