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IRL Irlande - Première division · Match ·

Athlone Town vs Longford Town

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.13 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile30%
Nul31%
Victoire à l’extérieur39%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Athlone TownLongford Town
Expected goals2.13Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de64% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
30% / 31% / 39%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Athlone Town win (29.7%)Double chanceX270.3%1.42
Plus de 36% · Moins de 64%Goals 2.5Moins de64%1.56
Oui 43% · Non 57%Les deux équipes marquentNon57%1.75
2.13 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.1 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Athlone Town win30%3.33
Nul31%3.23
Longford Town win39%2.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Athlone Town0.93

Domicile share of expected goals 43.7%

Total expected goals2.13Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 36% · Moins de 64%

Longford Town1.20

Extérieur share of expected goals 56.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 43% · Non 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Athlone Town

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Longford Town

2.40pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalExtérieur unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Gagné probability excluding draw
39%
4
Points from supplied form
12
0.93
Expected goals
1.20
Athlone TownLongford Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Athlone Town signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Longford Town signalExtérieur unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Athlone Town vs Longford Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Athlone Town victoire 30%,Nul 31%,Longford Town victoire 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.13 · Plus de 2.5 36% · Current selection Moins de