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IRL Irlanda - 1ª División · Partido ·

UCD vs Wexford FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.83 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local47%
Empate25%
Victoria visitante28%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local47% selection probability
Projected score2–1UCDWexford FC
Expected goals2.83Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de54% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
47% / 25% / 28%Resultado del partidoVictoria local47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)Doble Oportunidad1274.6%1.34
Más de 54% · Menos de 46%Goals 2.5Más de54%1.85
Sí 52% · No 48%Ambos equipos marcan52%1.92
2.83 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
8.5 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapUCD winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UCD win47%2.131.9545.7%+1.3 pp
Empate25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Wexford FC win28%3.573.1028.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UCD1.89

Local share of expected goals 66.8%

Total expected goals2.83Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 54% · Menos de 46%

Wexford FC0.94

Visitante share of expected goals 33.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

UCD

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Wexford FC

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Ganado probability excluding draw
28%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.89
Expected goals
0.94
UCDWexford FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UCD signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Wexford FC signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

UCD vs Wexford FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UCD ganada 47%,Empate 25%,Wexford FC ganada 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.83 · Más de 2.5 54% · Current selection Más de