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NLD Nederländerna - Eerste Divisie · Final ·

PSV reserver vs Top Oss

Prediction review

Hemma form
Final score1–0Prognos 2–1
Borta form
Hemmaseger60%
Oavgjort22%
Bortaseger19%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 60% selection probability
Prediction Vunnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger60% selection probability
Projected score2–1PSV reserverTop Oss
Expected goals3.38Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över66% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners11.2Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
60% / 22% / 19%MatchresultatHemmaseger60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Top Oss win (18.5%)Dubbelchans1X81.5%1.23
Över 66% · Under 34%Goals 2.5Över66%1.52
Ja 65% · Nej 35%Båda lagen gör målJa65%1.54
3.38 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
11.2 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.8%Largest probability gapTop Oss winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
PSV reserver win60%1.671.5760.2%-0.2 pp
Oavgjort22%4.554.3321.8%+0.2 pp
Top Oss win19%5.265.2518%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

PSV reserver2.02

Hemma share of expected goals 59.8%

Total expected goals3.38Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 66% · Under 34%

Top Oss1.36

Borta share of expected goals 40.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 65% · Nej 35%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

PSV reserver

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poäng6

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Top Oss

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poäng6

SignalBorta matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
19%
6
Points from supplied form
6
2.02
Expected goals
1.36
PSV reserverTop Oss
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01PSV reserver signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Top Oss signalBorta matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

PSV reserver vs Top Oss FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

PSV reserver vunnen 60%,Oavgjort 22%,Top Oss vunnen 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.38 · Över 2.5 66% · Current selection Över