Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
60% / 22% / 19%Match resultHome win60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Top Oss win (18.5%)Double chance1X81.5%1.23
Over 66% · Under 34%Goals 2.5Over66%1.52
Yes 65% · No 35%Both teams scoreYes65%1.54
3.38 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
11.2 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin5.8%Largest probability gapTop Oss winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
PSV Reserves win60%1.671.5760.2%-0.2 pp
Draw22%4.554.3321.8%+0.2 pp
Top Oss win19%5.265.2518%+1.0 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 59.8%
Total expected goals3.38Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 66% · Under 34%
Away share of expected goals 40.2%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 65% · No 35%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchPSV Reserves
LWLLW
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchTop Oss
LLLWW
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
60%
Win probability excluding draw
19%6
Points from supplied form
62.02
Expected goals
1.36PSV ReservesTop Oss
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.
Match questions
PSV Reserves vs Top Oss FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
PSV Reserves win 60%，Draw 22%，Top Oss win 19%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.38 · Over 2.5 66% · Current selection Over。