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NLD Niederlande - Eerste Divisie · Final ·

PSV - Reserve vs Top Oss

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score1–0Prognose 2–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg60%
Unentschieden22%
Auswärtssieg19%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 60% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg60% selection probability
Projected score2–1PSV - ReserveTop Oss
Expected goals3.38Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über66% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners11.2Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
60% / 22% / 19%SpielergebnisHeimsieg60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Top Oss win (18.5%)Doppelte Chance1X81.5%1.23
Über 66% · Unter 34%Goals 2.5Über66%1.52
Ja 65% · Nein 35%Beide Teams treffenJa65%1.54
3.38 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
11.2 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.8%Largest probability gapTop Oss winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
PSV - Reserve win60%1.671.5760.2%-0.2 pp
Unentschieden22%4.554.3321.8%+0.2 pp
Top Oss win19%5.265.2518%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

PSV - Reserve2.02

Heim share of expected goals 59.8%

Total expected goals3.38Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 66% · Unter 34%

Top Oss1.36

Auswärts share of expected goals 40.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 65% · Nein 35%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

PSV - Reserve

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Top Oss

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
19%
6
Points from supplied form
6
2.02
Expected goals
1.36
PSV - ReserveTop Oss
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01PSV - Reserve signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Top Oss signalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

PSV - Reserve vs Top Oss FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

PSV - Reserve Gewinn 60%,Unentschieden 22%,Top Oss Gewinn 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.38 · Über 2.5 66% · Current selection Über