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NLD Nederland - Eerste divisie · Final ·

Jong PSV vs Top Oss

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score1–0Voorspelling 2–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst60%
Gelijkspel22%
Uitwinst19%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 60% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst60% selection probability
Projected score2–1Jong PSVTop Oss
Expected goals3.38Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven66% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners11.2Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
60% / 22% / 19%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Top Oss win (18.5%)Dubbele Kans1X81.5%1.23
Boven 66% · Onder 34%Goals 2.5Boven66%1.52
Ja 65% · Nee 35%Beide teams scorenJa65%1.54
3.38 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
11.2 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.8%Largest probability gapTop Oss winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Jong PSV win60%1.671.5760.2%-0.2 pp
Gelijkspel22%4.554.3321.8%+0.2 pp
Top Oss win19%5.265.2518%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Jong PSV2.02

Thuis share of expected goals 59.8%

Total expected goals3.38Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 66% · Onder 34%

Top Oss1.36

Uit share of expected goals 40.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 65% · Nee 35%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Jong PSV

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Top Oss

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalUit matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
19%
6
Points from supplied form
6
2.02
Expected goals
1.36
Jong PSVTop Oss
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Jong PSV signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Top Oss signalUit matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Jong PSV vs Top Oss FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Jong PSV gewonnen 60%,Gelijkspel 22%,Top Oss gewonnen 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.38 · Boven 2.5 66% · Current selection Boven